Pre-tourney Rankings
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#249
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Pace68.6#135
Improvement-4.0#304

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#214
Improvement-1.4#242

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#278
Improvement-2.6#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 328   Canisius W 82-73 85%     1 - 0 -7.2 -9.9 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2011 53   @ La Salle L 83-92 7%     1 - 1 +2.6 +9.2 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2011 148   Robert Morris L 77-82 38%     1 - 2 -7.0 +6.6 -13.9
  Nov 25, 2011 221   Rider W 86-69 43%     2 - 2 +13.8 +4.5 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2011 141   @ Penn W 60-58 16%     3 - 2 +7.5 -1.2 +9.0
  Dec 03, 2011 218   @ Hofstra W 62-60 30%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +2.3 -2.9 +5.5
  Dec 06, 2011 116   Kent St. L 51-71 30%     4 - 3 -19.8 -25.2 +6.5
  Dec 19, 2011 319   The Citadel W 67-49 83%     5 - 3 +2.5 -1.0 +6.6
  Dec 22, 2011 167   @ George Washington W 62-57 21%     6 - 3 +8.3 -1.5 +10.4
  Dec 29, 2011 215   Rhode Island L 60-79 41%     6 - 4 -21.8 -18.4 -2.7
  Dec 30, 2011 260   Stetson W 71-69 OT 53%     7 - 4 -3.8 -14.8 +10.8
  Jan 02, 2012 107   Old Dominion L 61-67 OT 28%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -5.2 -5.9 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2012 290   @ William & Mary L 61-68 47%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -11.3 -12.7 +1.2
  Jan 07, 2012 200   Northeastern L 56-68 51%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -17.3 -12.7 -5.9
  Jan 09, 2012 288   Hampton W 74-67 71%     8 - 7 -3.9 -3.4 -0.8
  Jan 12, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 45-65 7%     8 - 8 1 - 4 -8.3 -17.3 +7.3
  Jan 14, 2012 112   George Mason L 83-89 29%     8 - 9 1 - 5 -5.4 -1.6 -2.8
  Jan 18, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 69-61 35%     9 - 9 2 - 5 +7.0 -0.2 +7.7
  Jan 21, 2012 218   Hofstra L 69-71 55%     9 - 10 2 - 6 -8.5 -3.0 -5.6
  Jan 23, 2012 98   @ Georgia St. L 58-74 11%     9 - 11 2 - 7 -7.6 -12.7 +6.6
  Jan 26, 2012 290   William & Mary W 59-47 72%     10 - 11 3 - 7 +0.9 -14.2 +16.4
  Jan 28, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 79-89 12%     10 - 12 3 - 8 -2.6 +7.9 -10.0
  Jan 30, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 56-70 18%     10 - 13 -9.3 -8.3 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion L 71-80 12%     10 - 14 3 - 9 -1.4 +4.4 -5.7
  Feb 04, 2012 166   Delaware L 80-85 43%     10 - 15 3 - 10 -8.3 +1.6 -9.7
  Feb 08, 2012 63   Drexel L 56-63 19%     10 - 16 3 - 11 -2.9 -7.7 +4.1
  Feb 11, 2012 331   @ Towson W 58-56 71%     11 - 16 4 - 11 -8.9 -2.8 -5.5
  Feb 14, 2012 98   Georgia St. L 64-67 26%     11 - 17 4 - 12 -1.4 +6.8 -8.8
  Feb 18, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 70-82 13%     11 - 18 -5.2 +1.0 -6.6
  Feb 22, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 61-78 8%     11 - 19 4 - 13 -6.1 +2.8 -11.2
  Feb 25, 2012 331   Towson W 65-59 88%     12 - 19 5 - 13 -11.7 -8.7 -2.5
  Mar 02, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington L 59-70 47%     12 - 20 -15.4 -12.9 -3.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%